HTSC·2025-04-28 07:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of the company [8] Core Views - The company reported a Q1 revenue of 154.6 billion, down 12.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.47 billion, down 11.0% year-on-year, primarily due to seasonal factors and high base effects. However, new contracts signed increased by 9.0% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend for future growth [1][4] - The company plans to repurchase A shares worth 500 million to 1 billion and H shares worth 250 million to 500 million, reflecting confidence in stable operations [1] - The company aims for a revenue growth target of at least 5.0% and a new contract growth target of at least 7.1% for 2025 [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1, the gross profit margin was 11.6%, a decrease of 0.35 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio slightly improved to 6.3% [2] - The net profit margin increased by 0.07 percentage points to 3.54% due to a reversal of impairment losses amounting to 521 million [2] Cash Flow and Debt - The company experienced a net cash outflow of 48.9 billion in Q1, primarily due to seasonal cash flow mismatches, with a cash collection ratio of 94.9% [3] - As of the end of Q1, the company had a debt ratio of 34.3% and a liability ratio of 75.3%, both showing slight increases year-on-year [3] New Contracts - The new contract value in Q1 reached 553 billion, up 9.0% year-on-year, with significant contributions from infrastructure construction and overseas projects [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 24.6 billion, 25.9 billion, and 27.0 billion respectively, with target prices set at 12.11 RMB for A shares and 7.33 HKD for H shares [5]