Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, highlighting strong performance in precious and industrial metals [5][7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the rising gold prices, which have reached new highs, and suggests focusing on strategic minor metal investment opportunities due to geopolitical tensions and supply chain dynamics [5][23]. - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 2.43% over the past two weeks, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.46 percentage points [2][13]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The non-ferrous metals industry index rose by 2.43% from April 14 to April 25, 2025, ranking 11th among 31 sectors [2][13]. - Energy metals (4.34%), industrial metals (3.84%), and precious metals (1.74%) showed the highest gains, while minor metals and new metal materials declined by -1.66% and -1.78%, respectively [2][13]. Precious Metals - As of April 25, COMEX gold closed at $3,330.20 per ounce, up 2.31% over two weeks and 24.67% year-to-date [3][22]. - COMEX silver closed at $33.34 per ounce, increasing by 3.56% over two weeks and 11.19% year-to-date [3][22]. - The report notes that geopolitical risks and monetary policy expectations are driving gold prices, with a potential for short-term corrections but long-term support factors remaining strong [23][26]. Industrial Metals - LME copper settled at $9,364 per ton, up 2.00% over two weeks and 7.81% year-to-date [30]. - LME aluminum closed at $2,412 per ton, increasing by 5.56% over two weeks but down 4.89% year-to-date [30]. - The report highlights that copper prices are influenced by tariff policy changes and long-term demand from the renewable energy sector [30][34]. Minor Metals - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) price reached 146,000 CNY per ton, up 1.74% over two weeks and 2.28% year-to-date [37]. - Antimony ingot (99.65%) price was 237,500 CNY per ton, down 1.04% over two weeks but up 66.08% year-to-date [37]. - The report indicates that antimony prices are supported by supply constraints and strong demand from the photovoltaic sector [38]. Rare Earths - The rare earth price index was 171.62, down 5.28% over two weeks but up 4.79% year-to-date [50][51]. - The report notes that the market is experiencing downward pressure due to reduced demand from key industries amid a slowing global economy [51]. Energy Metals - Cobalt prices for electrolytic cobalt averaged 240,500 CNY per ton, up 2.78% over two weeks and 41.06% year-to-date [57]. - Lithium carbonate (99.5% battery grade) averaged 69,800 CNY per ton, down 2.51% over two weeks and down 7.06% year-to-date [60]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on strategic minor metals due to changing supply dynamics and geopolitical factors, recommending companies involved in these sectors [5][51].
有色金属行业双周报:黄金价格续创新高,关注战略小金属投资机会
Guoyuan Securities·2025-04-28 06:23