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近期市场关注的几个资金面问题:平准基金、增持回购及南下资金流入特征
Changjiang Securities·2025-04-28 08:25

Group 1: Central Huijin's Role and Holdings - As of December 31, 2024, Central Huijin's total ETF holdings reached CNY 1.05 trillion, an increase of approximately 80% from CNY 584.2 billion on June 30, 2024, and a staggering 744% increase from CNY 124.7 billion on December 31, 2023[20]. - The majority of Central Huijin's holdings are in broad-based index ETFs, with the CSI 300 ETF accounting for CNY 690.5 billion, representing 65.6% of its total holdings[7]. - Central Huijin's investment strategy has expanded to include industry-themed and style-based ETFs since the second half of 2024[7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Fund Flows - From April 7 to April 12, 2025, 213 companies in the Shenzhen market announced share buybacks, with 73 companies planning to repurchase between CNY 18.1 billion and CNY 32.8 billion[9]. - During the same period, 24 companies announced plans to increase their holdings, with intended amounts ranging from CNY 6.6 billion to CNY 9.4 billion[9]. - Southbound funds accounted for over 40% of the trading volume in Hong Kong stocks in 2025, indicating their significant pricing power in the market[14]. Group 3: Comparison with International Practices - Japan's ETF market, which began in the early 2000s, saw the Bank of Japan hold approximately JPY 37 trillion in ETFs by March 2023, making it the largest shareholder in the Japanese stock market[8]. - The operational model of Japan's stabilization fund serves as a reference for China's "similar stabilization fund" approach, particularly in terms of direct market intervention[8].