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公用事业行业跟踪周报:国常会新核准核电10台核电成长性加强-20250428
Soochow Securities·2025-04-28 10:11

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the public utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The State Council approved 10 new nuclear power units for 2025, enhancing the growth potential of nuclear energy [3]. - As of Q1 2025, China's installed capacity for wind and solar power reached 1.482 billion kilowatts, surpassing thermal power for the first time [3]. - The report suggests focusing on regional thermal power companies, particularly JianTou Energy, due to its strategic location near coal-producing areas [3]. Industry Data Tracking Electricity Price - In April 2025, the average grid purchase price was 393 RMB/MWh, a year-on-year decrease of 5% and a slight month-on-month decrease of 0.5% [40]. Coal Price - As of April 25, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 655 RMB/ton, down 19.33% year-on-year and 1.2% week-on-week [48]. Hydrology - As of April 25, 2025, the water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 157 meters, with inflow and outflow rates showing a year-on-year decrease of 15% and 42%, respectively [56]. Electricity Consumption - From January to March 2025, total electricity consumption was 2.38 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [14]. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation from January to March 2025 was 2.27 trillion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [22]. Installed Capacity - As of March 31, 2025, China's thermal power installed capacity reached 1.45 billion kW, with a year-on-year increase of 3.9% [50]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on hydropower and thermal power investment opportunities, particularly in JianTou Energy and Changjiang Power [3]. - For nuclear power, companies like China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are highlighted for their growth potential [3]. - In the green energy sector, Longjing Environmental Protection is recommended, with attention to Longyuan Power and other related companies [3].