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制造成长周报(第11期):特斯拉计划五年内量产百万台机器人,小鹏首次展示全尺寸机器人Iron-20250428
Guoxin Securities·2025-04-28 11:12

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating expected performance above the market average [9][31]. Core Insights - The human-shaped robot sector is experiencing significant advancements, with Tesla planning to produce 1 million units of its Optimus robot annually within five years, and Xiaopeng showcasing its full-sized robot Iron at the Shanghai Auto Show [16][17]. - The AI infrastructure is expected to see continued capital expenditure growth driven by demand, particularly benefiting gas turbines and chillers [3]. - The low-altitude economy is rapidly developing, with initiatives like the establishment of a national low-altitude transportation network and the launch of luxury flying cars [23][29]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Tesla aims to achieve an annual production of 1 million Optimus robots by 2025, emphasizing its strategic importance [16]. - Xiaopeng's Iron robot, featuring 62 degrees of freedom and advanced AI capabilities, is set for mass production by 2026 [17]. - The first Embodied Intelligence Robot Games were held, showcasing advancements in robotics [21]. Government News - The National Development and Reform Commission has established a 100 billion yuan AI mother fund to support AI chip development and robotics [24]. Company Developments - Strategic collaborations are forming, such as between Rongtai Health and Aoyi Technology to advance brain-machine interaction technologies [25]. - New companies are emerging in the robotics space, like Honor's establishment of a subsidiary focused on smart robot sales [19]. Investment Focus - Key investment opportunities identified include: - Human-shaped robots: Focus on suppliers with strong market positions and growth potential [3]. - AI infrastructure: Companies like HanZhong Precision and Ice Wheel Environment are highlighted for their growth prospects [3]. - Low-altitude economy: Companies such as Yingliu and Zongshen Power are noted for their roles in this emerging sector [4]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Several companies are rated "Outperform," including: - Green's Harmony (688017.SH) with a projected EPS of 0.50 for 2023 and a PE ratio of 287 [9][31]. - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ) with an EPS of 1.78 for 2023 and a PE of 36 [9][31]. - Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) with an EPS of 1.86 for 2023 and a PE of 39 [9][31].