NHU(002001) 浙商证券·2025-04-29 01:15Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.44 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.9% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.66%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 1.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 116.2% and a slight quarter-on-quarter increase, marking a new high in profitability. The significant growth in performance is primarily attributed to the price increases of Vitamin E (VE) and methionine [1][2] - The supply-demand dynamics for VE and methionine are improving, with prices expected to remain high due to the reduction in production capacity by overseas leaders. The recent price adjustments by major companies indicate a positive trend for future profitability [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the average prices for VA/VE/VC/methionine were 112.3/136.4/28.3/20.9 yuan/kg, with year-on-year changes of 37.4%/109.9%/15.6%/-4.2% and quarter-on-quarter changes of -33.3%/-3.0%/-2.8%/+4.8%. The net profit margin was 34.7%, up 13.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. Operating cash flow reached 1.596 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.32 times [2][3] Market Outlook - The report anticipates continued price increases for methionine and VE, driven by supply constraints from major producers. The current price of methionine is 22.1 yuan/kg, up 12.5% year-on-year. Each 1 yuan/kg increase in methionine and VE is expected to enhance the company's performance by 280 million yuan and 45 million yuan, respectively [3][4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 7.867 billion, 9.383 billion, and 9.761 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 2.56, 3.05, and 3.18 yuan. The current price corresponds to a PE ratio of 8.7, 7.3, and 7.0 for the respective years [4]