IMS(SH:600556) Guoxin Securities·2025-04-29 02:05Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [4][6][23] Core Viewpoints - The company's revenue is expected to decline by 3.2% in 2024, primarily due to changes in customer structure and market conditions, with a projected revenue of 4.07 billion yuan [1][9] - The net profit for 2024 is forecasted to be 51 million yuan, a decrease of 44.5%, impacted by credit impairment losses of 76 million yuan and asset impairment losses of 10 million yuan [1][9] - The company is enhancing its influencer marketing platform efficiency and expanding its business layout in the influencer economy [2][17] - The commercialization of AIGC (AI-Generated Content) is gradually taking shape, with initial progress in overseas markets [3][18] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company expects a revenue of 4.07 billion yuan, down 3.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 51 million yuan, down 44.5% [1][5] - The gross margin decreased by 0.9 percentage points to 17.2%, while the overall expense ratio slightly decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 13.6% [12][20] Business Development - The active customer base and number of influencers on the marketing platform continue to grow, with 208,000 registered merchant customers and 3.466 million influencer accounts by the end of 2024 [2][17] - The company is building a decentralized creator economy ecosystem and has launched innovative services such as IMSOCIAL Accelerator and AI content creation tools [2][17] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 120 million, 140 million, and 160 million yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 125.1%, 18.5%, and 17.7% [4][21] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.06, 0.08, and 0.09 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 73x, 61.6x, and 52.3x [4][21]