HTSC·2025-04-29 02:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][9]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 5.721 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 47.69% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 27.44%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.042 billion RMB, up 64.85% year-over-year and down 28.00% quarter-over-quarter, falling within the expected range of 1.858 to 2.106 billion RMB [1]. - The strong growth in Q1 was primarily driven by excellent investment performance and growth in brokerage services. The company has a well-established wealth management ecosystem and significant advantages in international business [1]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, total assets were 673.2 billion RMB, a slight decrease of 0.22% from the beginning of the year. The financial investment scale increased by 2.29% to 380.254 billion RMB, with investment income rising by 83% year-over-year, accounting for 59% of total revenue [2]. - Brokerage net income for Q1 2025 was 1.298 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 56.27%. The company is transitioning to a "buy-side advisory" business model, launching various product systems [3]. - Investment banking revenue faced pressure, with net income of 403 million RMB, down 10.5% year-over-year. The underwriting scale for equity business decreased by 44% year-over-year, while bond underwriting increased by 36% [4]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.39, 1.55, and 1.70 RMB, respectively, reflecting a downward revision of 1%, 4%, and 5% [5]. - The report assigns a price-to-book (PB) valuation premium of 1.70 for A shares and 0.70 for H shares, with target prices set at 42.59 RMB and 18.88 HKD, respectively [5].