宝城期货股指期货早报-20250429

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - The short - term view of the stock index futures is interval oscillation. Policy利好预期 forms a strong bottom support, while overseas uncertainty risks restrict the upward space of the stock index. [1][4] - The short - term view of IH2506 is oscillation, the medium - term view is oscillation, and the intraday view is oscillation with a slight upward bias, with an overall view of interval oscillation. [1] - The intraday view of IF, IH, IC, IM is oscillation with a slight upward bias, the medium - term view is oscillation, and the reference view is interval oscillation. [4] 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2506, the short - term view is oscillation, the medium - term view is oscillation, and the intraday view is oscillation with a slight upward bias. The core logic is that there are both policy - side利好 expectations and external uncertainty risks. [1] Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - Yesterday, each stock index oscillated and sorted within a narrow range. The stock market trading volume was 107.67 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.03 billion yuan compared with the previous day. Recently, the trading volume has been stable at around 1 trillion yuan, indicating that investors' wait - and - see sentiment has increased and the willingness to chase up is not strong. [4] - On one hand, due to the approaching May Day holiday, investors are cautious about the holiday's uncertainty risks. On the other hand, the stock index has rebounded to the gap position in early April and faces technical selling pressure when continuing to rise. [4] - After the Politburo meeting last Friday, the domestic policy side released signals of stabilizing expectations and confidence in the context of rising external environmental uncertainty. However, there is no signal of concentrated policy intensification yet. Attention can be paid to the performance of subsequent macro - economic indicators. If economic data weakens, policy expectations will increase. [4]