药石科技(300725):订单逐步改善,期待公司经营边际优化

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating for the company, with a target price of 36.96 CNY for the next six months [4][6][19]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.689 billion CNY and a net profit of 220 million CNY for 2024, showing a year-on-year revenue decline of 2.12% but a net profit increase of 11.24% [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 455 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.55%, while the net profit decreased by 27.67% [2][4]. - The company is experiencing a gradual improvement in orders, with new orders in the CDMO segment increasing by 12.43% year-on-year and the number of new projects growing by 31.12% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the revenue from drug research and development services was 331 million CNY, down 4.06%, while the revenue from drug development and commercialization services was 1.354 billion CNY, down 1.83% [2][3]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 1.821 billion CNY, 2.018 billion CNY, and 2.295 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.82%, 10.86%, and 13.73% respectively [13][21]. Profitability Forecast - The expected net profits for 2025-2027 are 224 million CNY, 237 million CNY, and 255 million CNY, with growth rates of 2.1%, 5.9%, and 7.4% respectively [4][13]. - The report anticipates an EPS of 1.12 CNY for 2025, with a PE ratio of 33 times [4][19]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is focusing on customer needs and enhancing its business and market expansion capabilities, which is expected to lead to improved operational margins as commercial projects are delivered [3][4]. - The total number of projects in the pipeline exceeds 2,400, with 78 projects in clinical III and commercialization stages, indicating a robust growth potential [3][4].