HTSC·2025-04-29 04:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8] Core Views - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 550.21% in Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching 36.03 billion RMB, reflecting an 11.04% increase year-on-year [1] - The container business has shown resilience amid trade policy disruptions, while the energy and marine engineering sectors are gradually releasing backlogged orders, contributing to diversified growth opportunities [1][3] - The company is focusing on innovative business layouts, particularly in cold chain logistics and modular construction, which are expected to create new growth drivers [4] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin improved to 12.10%, up 1.92 percentage points year-on-year, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.23 percentage points [2] - The financial expense ratio increased quarter-on-quarter due to foreign exchange losses, with the financial expense rate at 0.99%, up 0.52 percentage points year-on-year [2] Business Segments - The container segment saw a year-on-year revenue increase, with dry container sales up 7.44% to 531,200 TEUs and refrigerated container sales soaring 291.40% due to strong demand from South American fruit exports [3] - The energy segment, particularly through its subsidiary CIMC Enric, achieved revenue of 5.765 billion RMB, a 24.2% increase year-on-year, driven by sales in clean energy and high-end low-temperature equipment [3] Order Backlog and Future Growth - As of Q1 2025, the company had a robust order backlog in the energy sector amounting to 28.309 billion RMB, a 5.2% increase year-on-year, and in marine engineering, the backlog was 6.3 billion USD, up 34.04% year-on-year [4] - The company is actively expanding its presence in the pharmaceutical and temperature-controlled sectors, focusing on large clients to enhance its energy storage business [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 3.009 billion RMB, 3.602 billion RMB, and 3.995 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.56, 0.67, and 0.74 RMB [5] - The target price is set at 8.96 RMB, reflecting a 16x PE ratio, indicating a premium valuation due to its industry leadership and potential benefits from deep-sea technology [5]