Quectel(603236) 华泰证券·2025-04-29 07:56Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company experienced significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 52 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 32%, and a net profit of 2.1 billion RMB, reflecting a 287% increase [1] - The company is positioned as a leading global IoT module manufacturer, expected to benefit from a recovery in industry demand and long-term opportunities from edge/endpoint AI development [1][5] - The revenue from the module and antenna business in 2024 was 184 billion RMB, up 34% year-on-year, with both domestic and international markets showing strong performance [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue was 186 billion RMB, a 34% increase year-on-year, and the net profit was 5.9 billion RMB, up 548% [1] - The comprehensive gross margin for 2024 was 17.6%, a slight decline of 1.3 percentage points, primarily due to increased orders from overseas strategic clients [3] - The company effectively controlled expenses, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios decreasing year-on-year [3] Market Outlook - The IoT module market is expected to stabilize and improve as downstream demand recovers, with high-speed products like 5G cellular modules poised for growth in the AI era [4] - Long-term, the transition of AI computing capabilities to the edge is anticipated to enhance the value of IoT modules, shifting their role from "transmission" to "transmission + computation" [4] Valuation and Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upward, with projected net profits of 8.01 billion RMB, 9.59 billion RMB, and 11.28 billion RMB respectively [5] - The target price for the company is set at 91.79 RMB, based on a 30x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's leading position in the IoT module market [5]