HTSC·2025-04-29 04:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 5.721 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 47.69% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 27.44%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.042 billion RMB, up 64.85% year-over-year and down 28.00% quarter-over-quarter, falling within the expected range of 1.858 to 2.106 billion RMB [1][2]. - The strong growth in Q1 is primarily driven by excellent investment performance and growth in brokerage services. The company has a well-established wealth management ecosystem and significant advantages in international business [1][2]. - The investment business generated 3.396 billion RMB in revenue, accounting for 59% of total revenue, with a year-over-year increase of 83%, marking it as the core driver of the high growth in performance [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company's total assets were 673.2 billion RMB, a slight decrease of 0.22% from the beginning of the year. The leverage ratio was 4.83x, down 0.15x from the start of the year [2]. - The financial investment scale reached 380.254 billion RMB, up 2.29% year-to-date, with trading financial assets at 285.434 billion RMB, also up 2.31% [2]. Brokerage and Asset Management - The net income from brokerage services was 1.298 billion RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 56.27%. The company is transitioning towards a "buy-side advisory" business model, launching various product systems [3]. - The net income from asset management was 308 million RMB, up 15.25% year-over-year [3]. Investment Banking - Investment banking revenue faced pressure, with net income of 403 million RMB in Q1 2025, down 10.5% year-over-year. The underwriting scale for equity business was 4.7 billion RMB, down 44% year-over-year, while bond underwriting increased by 36% to 298.4 billion RMB [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.39, 1.55, and 1.70 RMB, respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 1%, 4%, and 5% [5]. - The target price for A/H shares is set at 42.59 RMB and 18.88 HKD, with a price-to-book (PB) valuation premium of 1.70 and 0.70 times, respectively [5].