中国石化（600028）：短期盈利仍承压，炼化板块静待修复

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Sinopec (600028.SH) is "Buy" [1][4] Core Views - The report indicates that short-term profitability remains under pressure, with the refining segment awaiting recovery [3] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a year-on-year decline in revenue and net profit, but a significant quarter-on-quarter improvement [1][3] - The company is focusing on high-quality exploration and development, with steady increases in oil and gas equivalent production [3] - The refining segment is enhancing cost reduction and efficiency, with a notable increase in chemical plant load [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, Sinopec reported revenue of CNY 735.36 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.91% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.86% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 13.26 billion, down 27.58% year-on-year but up 118.66% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company achieved an oil and gas equivalent production of 130.97 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [3] - The average Brent oil price in Q1 2025 was USD 75 per barrel, down 8% year-on-year but up 1% quarter-on-quarter [3] Segment Performance Summary - Exploration and production segment generated CNY 11.7 billion in operating income, down 10% year-on-year but up 8% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The refining segment reported an operating income of CNY 2 billion, down 44% year-on-year but up 14% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The marketing segment achieved CNY 4 billion in operating income, down 40% year-on-year but up 29% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The chemical segment incurred an operating loss of CNY 1.4 billion, but showed a significant reduction in losses quarter-on-quarter [3] Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is CNY 51.99 billion, CNY 53.86 billion, and CNY 57.01 billion respectively, with growth rates of 3.3%, 3.6%, and 5.9% [4] - The expected EPS for the same period is CNY 0.43, CNY 0.44, and CNY 0.47, corresponding to P/E ratios of 13.13, 12.68, and 11.98 [4]