价值策略周报：分红率普涨，寻觅“新红马”-20250429

Group 1: Core Insights - As of April 23, 2025, over one-third of companies have released their 2024 dividend plans, with more than half of the industries experiencing an increase in dividend rates, indicating a continued search for "new red horses" in dividend strategies [1][6]. - Among the primary industries, the household appliance manufacturing and transportation sectors have shown significant increases in dividend rates for 2024, with expected dividend yields exceeding 3.5% [6][17]. - In the detailed industry analysis, sectors such as small household appliances, express delivery, and building equipment have reported the highest increases in dividend rates [6][20]. Group 2: Dividend Performance Review - From April 16 to April 23, 2025, small-cap growth stocks led the market, while dividend stocks lagged behind, reflecting a phase of risk preference recovery after previous tariff disruptions [7][25]. - The performance of major broad-based indices increased during this period, with real estate, oil and gas, and packaging sectors performing well, while consumer goods and social services faced slight pressure [7][28]. Group 3: High-Frequency Data Tracking - The dividend index's yield compared to government bond yields is currently at a high level, suggesting a favorable cost-benefit ratio for dividend investments [8][39]. - As of April 22, 2025, the dividend index's yield is approximately two standard deviations above the mean compared to government bond yields, indicating a high value for dividend strategies [8][40]. Group 4: Strategic Outlook - The report emphasizes a shift from "old dividends" to "new red horses," focusing on long-term allocation value in dividend assets, particularly in sectors like banking and technology [9][36]. - New investment opportunities are emerging in sectors such as agricultural chemicals, rare earth materials, lithium batteries, and hospitality, which are nearing supply clearing points and showing characteristics of "red horses" [9][36].