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资产配置日报:抢跑-20250429
HUAXI Securities·2025-04-29 15:07

Market Performance - The equity market continues in a low volatility state, with major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 experiencing slight declines of 0.05% and 0.17% respectively [2][6] - The bond market shows relative strength, with yields on 10-year and 30-year government bonds decreasing by 2.4 and 7.8 basis points, reaching 1.62% and 1.82% respectively [2][4] Monetary Policy and Liquidity - The central bank maintains a balanced and slightly loose monetary policy, with a net injection of 120 billion yuan through reverse repos [3][4] - The overall liquidity in the market is relatively comfortable, with overnight rates dropping to 1.59%, the lowest since January 9 [3] Banking Sector Insights - In Q1 2025, state-owned banks reported a decline in net interest margins, with a decrease of 8-10 basis points compared to Q4 2024, indicating significant downward pressure on margins [5] - The potential for a new round of deposit rate cuts by major banks may further lower the overall interest rate environment, including bond yields [5] Sector Trends - The PEEK materials index has surged by 8.31%, driven by demand in the robotics sector, indicating a strong performance in the related supply chain [7] - Consumer discretionary sectors, such as animal health and medical aesthetics, have also shown strength, with respective increases of 5.43% and 2.14% [7] Future Outlook - The market is awaiting key data releases, including the PMI on April 30, which could influence market volatility [8] - Upcoming earnings reports from listed companies may alleviate performance risks and enhance risk appetite among investors [8]