CHUNLI MEDICAL(688236) HTSC·2025-04-30 01:55Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][4]. Core Views - The company has shown stable growth in Q1 2025, with revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching 230 million, 58 million, and 53 million RMB respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 3.6%, 5.2%, and 7.8% [1]. - The rapid growth of overseas revenue has become a significant source of income, with overseas revenue in 2024 reaching 350 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 78.3%, accounting for 43.8% of total revenue [2]. - The company is expected to recover its performance growth in 2025, driven by improvements in domestic business and continued expansion in overseas markets [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company maintained a gross margin of 66.69%, although it decreased by 7.15 percentage points year-on-year due to the impact of centralized procurement [3]. - The company has successfully controlled its sales and R&D expense ratios, which decreased year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company estimates net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 240 million, 290 million, and 340 million RMB respectively, with growth rates of 90%, 21%, and 20% [4]. - The estimated EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected to be 0.62, 0.75, and 0.90 RMB respectively [4]. Valuation - The company is assigned a target price of 18.59 RMB for A-shares and 11.34 HKD for H-shares, based on a PE valuation of 30x for A-shares and 17x for H-shares in 2025 [4][6].