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银河证券晨会报告-20250430
Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-04-30 02:40

Key Insights on Fixed Income Market - The bond market experienced a significant decline followed by a period of consolidation, with the 10-year government bond yield decreasing by 15 basis points to 1.66% in April [2][3] - The supply of government bonds is expected to peak in May, with net supply projected to reach around 1.9 trillion yuan, comparable to levels seen in August of the previous year [3][4] - The central bank is likely to maintain a supportive stance on liquidity, with potential reverse repos and MLF net injections to counterbalance the impact of increased bond issuance [4][7] Key Insights on Artificial Intelligence Industry - The Central Political Bureau emphasized the importance of self-reliance and application-driven development in AI, marking a shift towards a focus on ecological construction and rule-setting in AI development [9][10] - The AI industry is expected to enter a golden window for commercialization from 2025 to 2030, with significant opportunities in various applications such as AIoT and embodied intelligence [10][11] - Key areas of focus include enhancing basic research, fostering collaboration between academia and industry, and strengthening the regulatory framework to prevent blind development in the AI sector [11] Key Insights on Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is witnessing a recovery in holdings, with public fund allocations increasing as the market stabilizes, particularly in innovative drugs and medical devices [16][19] - The introduction of a new insurance payment model is expected to stimulate the development of innovative drugs, with the first version of the Class B drug list focusing on high-innovation products [17][19] - The medical device procurement market is experiencing significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 67.49% in Q1 2025, driven by domestic demand and the rise of local brands [18][19] Key Insights on Semiconductor Industry - The company reported a record high in revenue and net profit for 2024, with a 27.69% year-on-year increase in revenue to 7.356 billion yuan and a staggering 584.21% increase in net profit [22][23] - The growth is attributed to the strong performance of storage chips, with a gross margin of 40.27% and a focus on expanding into high-growth markets such as AI terminals and automotive electronics [23][24] - The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the acceleration of AI applications, with plans to enhance its product offerings in the storage chip sector [25] Key Insights on Food Industry - The company demonstrated resilience with a 10.3% year-on-year increase in revenue to 600 million yuan in Q1 2025, despite a challenging market environment [28][29] - The strong performance of major product lines, particularly fish and bean products, contributed to revenue growth, supported by improved channel partnerships [28][30] - The company is focusing on brand development and product innovation to enhance its market position and drive long-term growth [30]