Tianfeng Securities·2025-04-30 05:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qingdao Port, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [4][6][27]. Core Views - Qingdao Port is positioned as the largest foreign trade port in northern China, with a strong growth trajectory in cargo throughput and a robust dividend policy [1][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the adjustment of its restructuring plan, which involves a cash acquisition of high-quality oil product assets, enhancing its earnings per share (EPS) by 6.07% [2][4]. - The financial metrics indicate a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.7, coupled with a high return on equity (ROE) of 13%, suggesting significant long-term investment value [3][4]. Financial Performance and Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 18,173.13 million yuan in 2023 to 21,259.96 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.02% [5][21]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 4,923.32 million yuan in 2023 to 5,915.14 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trend [5][21]. - The report anticipates a stable growth in cargo and container throughput by 2025, driven by the company's strategic initiatives and external demand resilience [1][2]. Valuation Metrics - The report highlights that Qingdao Port's P/B ratio is projected to decrease from 1.38 in 2023 to 1.05 in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation compared to its peers [5][21]. - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, averaging 44% from 2018 to 2024, which supports its investment attractiveness [3][4].