Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 10.81 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1135.4 million RMB and a net profit of 20.6 million RMB for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.8% and 0.1% respectively. The performance was below expectations due to significant credit impairment losses in Q4 [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the approval of 10 new nuclear power units, which will likely sustain high investment levels in the nuclear sector [1][4]. - The revenue from nuclear engineering projects increased by 34.6% year-on-year, contributing to a 29% share of total revenue, while the gross margin for Q4 improved by 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company signed new contracts worth 1634.4 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 8.5%, and for Q1 2025, the new contracts amounted to 541.8 million RMB, up 30.7% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s R&D expense ratio slightly increased to 2.83% in 2024, reflecting higher investments in key construction areas like nuclear power [3]. - The company recorded a credit impairment loss of 20.5 million RMB in 2024, which is a 7.3% increase year-on-year [3]. Market Outlook - The approval of 10 new nuclear power units in April 2025 is expected to further stimulate nuclear investment, with a reported 48.8% year-on-year increase in nuclear investment during the first two months of 2025 [4]. - The company has secured 14 new nuclear unit construction projects in 2024, increasing the total number of units under construction to 32 by the end of 2024 [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 23.5 million RMB, 28.2 million RMB, and 32.4 million RMB respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment of 8% and 7% from previous estimates [5]. - The company’s target market value for 2025 is set at 326 billion RMB, with a target price of 10.81 RMB per share [5].
中国核建:核电延续高景气,毛利率同比提升-20250430