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友邦保险:NBV+13%,Margin+3pct至57.5%超预期-20250430
01299AIA(01299) 国金证券·2025-04-30 07:10

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][11]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated strong growth resilience, with significant new customer acquisition in tax-advantaged products in China and rapid expansion in business regions, suggesting good long-term growth potential [4]. - The company reported a 13% year-on-year increase in New Business Value (NBV) for Q1 2025, reaching 1.497billion,withamarginimprovementof3.0percentagepointsto57.51.497 billion, with a margin improvement of 3.0 percentage points to 57.5% [2]. - The recent 1.6 billion share buyback program commenced on April 14, 2025, expected to be completed within three months [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the projected insurance revenue is 20.454billion,reflectingayearonyeargrowthof5.920.454 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [9]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 6.732 billion, with a slight decrease of 1.5% year-on-year [9]. - The New Business Value is expected to reach 54.23billionin2025,withayearonyeargrowthof15.154.23 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15.1% [9]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 0.63, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.17 [9][10].