TongQingLou Catering (605108) HTSC·2025-04-30 08:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.525 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.14%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company dropped to 100.08 million RMB, a decrease of 67.09% [1][4] - The company is expected to see gradual improvement in profits in 2025, driven by the stabilization of wedding banquet demand and the completion of new store ramp-up periods [1][3] - The company has accelerated the expansion of its restaurant chain, opening 8 large stores in 2024 and 5 in the first quarter of 2025, which may initially pressure profitability but is expected to yield significant profit elasticity in the future [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company recorded a revenue of 2.525 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 5.14%. The attributable net profit was 100.08 million RMB, down 67.09% year-on-year [1][4] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 692 million RMB, a slight increase of 0.17% year-on-year, but the net profit decreased by 21.36% to 52 million RMB [1][2] Expansion Strategy - The company opened 8 new large stores in 2024 and 5 in the first quarter of 2025, increasing its total number of stores to 127 by the end of 2024 [3][4] - The company is also exploring national expansion, with successful openings in key cities like Shanghai and Hangzhou [3] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the peak of new store openings has passed, and with the wedding banquet demand stabilizing in 2025, the company is expected to see improved profitability as new stores reach maturity [1][3] - The target price for the company's stock is set at 25.80 RMB, reflecting a potential upside from the current market price [4][5]