Neway CNC(SH:688697) HTSC·2025-04-30 08:10Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 24.42 RMB [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.462 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.08%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 325 million RMB, up 2.36% year-on-year. However, the net profit fell short of expectations due to slower-than-expected industry recovery and intensified competition [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 569 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.80%, but the net profit decreased by 11.78% year-on-year, primarily due to increased competition affecting profitability [1][2]. - The company is optimistic about its high-end product development and global expansion, which are expected to provide long-term growth opportunities [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 23.68%, down 2.78 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 13.21%, down 0.48 percentage points year-on-year. The decline in gross margin was attributed to increased competition and a decrease in the proportion of high-margin overseas revenue [2]. - In 2024, domestic revenue was 2.107 billion RMB, up 31.34% year-on-year, while overseas revenue was 342 million RMB, down 51.42% year-on-year due to reduced market demand in the context of overseas inflation [2]. Product Performance - Significant revenue growth was observed in large machining centers and vertical CNC machine tools, with revenues of 1.08 billion RMB and 746 million RMB, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 12.64% and 15.44% [3]. - The company has developed humanoid robot CNC lathes targeting key components such as harmonic reducers and hollow cup motors, which are expected to open new growth avenues as the industry shows signs of recovery [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised down its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 23% and 24%, respectively, to 364 million RMB and 441 million RMB, primarily due to adjustments in overseas revenue structure and short-term competition in the machine tool industry [5]. - The target price of 24.42 RMB corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 22 times for 2025, reflecting the company's positioning in the humanoid robot lathe market and the anticipated benefits from the industry's growth [5].