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水晶光电(002273):Q1业绩同比稳健增长,看好光学创新与AR共驱成长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 28.80 RMB [7][4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.278 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.67%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.03 billion RMB, up 71.57% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth in 2024 and Q1 2025 is attributed to a diversified strategy, with significant increases in new product shipments such as micro-prisms, and improvements in product structure and production efficiency [1][3]. - The optical industry is experiencing clear innovation trends, with upgrades in traditional products and a strong growth momentum in the AR business, supported by strategic partnerships with leading clients in North America [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.482 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%, and a net profit of 221 million RMB, up 23.67% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s revenue from optical components in 2024 was 2.88 billion RMB, up 17.9%, driven by accelerated new product promotion [2]. - The optical panel segment achieved a revenue of 2.47 billion RMB, a 33.7% increase, benefiting from market share gains in mobile and new applications [2]. Growth Drivers - The company is well-positioned in the optical industry, focusing on technological and new product-driven strategies, with multiple new projects in collaboration with mobile terminal manufacturers expected to contribute to future revenue growth [3]. - The AR business has significant long-term potential, with the company leading in global competitiveness for optical waveguide products [1][3]. Valuation and Forecast - The report predicts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.258 billion RMB, 1.514 billion RMB, and 1.782 billion RMB respectively, with slight downward adjustments from previous estimates [4]. - The target price is based on a 32x PE ratio for 2025, compared to a comparable company average of 22x [4].