Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 4.40 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.15 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1.9%, and a net profit of 490 million RMB, down 29.1% year-on-year, slightly below previous expectations [1]. - The company is expected to recover growth through refined management, strict control of terminal discounts, and channel expansion, alongside the acquisition of the Woolrich brand to enhance its multi-brand strategy [1][5]. - The company's gross margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 65.0% in 2024, attributed to a higher proportion of T-shirts, wool sweaters, and jackets, as well as strict control over retail discounts [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.3 billion RMB, a decrease of 3.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 170 million RMB, down 31.9% year-on-year [1]. - The proposed dividend for 2024 is 0.05 RMB per share, with a payout ratio of approximately 35.4% [1]. Brand Performance - Revenue for the main brands in 2024 showed mixed results: Baoxiniang down 8.4% to 1.59 billion RMB, Haggis up 1.3% to 1.78 billion RMB, Le Fei Ye up 28.0% to 350 million RMB, and Baoniao down 2.9% to 1.01 billion RMB [2]. - The company is actively responding to external challenges by enhancing brand promotion and optimizing channel structures [2]. Cost and Margin Analysis - Sales expense ratio increased by 2.7 percentage points to 41.3%, primarily due to increased advertising and sales personnel costs [3]. - The net profit margin decreased by 3.7 percentage points to 9.6% in 2024, with expectations for recovery in 2025 [3]. Operational Efficiency - Inventory turnover days increased by 9 days to 235 days due to slower terminal sales [4]. - Cash and cash equivalents increased by 7.1% to 2.03 billion RMB, providing sufficient support for stable development [4]. Acquisition and Strategic Outlook - The company acquired the global intellectual property rights of the Woolrich brand (excluding Europe) for 384 million RMB, aiming to enhance its brand matrix and international presence [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 590 million RMB and 680 million RMB, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 740 million RMB [5].
报喜鸟(002154):利润短期承压,静待多品牌协同发力