Xinda Securities·2025-04-30 08:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for Qingdao Port (601298) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report indicates that Qingdao Port's first-quarter performance in 2025 shows a 6.51% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reflecting stable operations and a positive outlook for future dividend capabilities [2][4] - The company's cargo throughput reached 177 million tons in the first quarter of 2025, representing a 2.9% year-on-year growth, benefiting from resilient demand in the hinterland [3][4] - The report highlights that the container throughput increased by 7.2% year-on-year, supported by the robust export demand from Shandong Province, which saw a 3.5% increase in export value [4] - The company maintains a strong dividend policy, with a projected cash dividend not less than 40% of distributable profits, leading to an estimated dividend yield of 4.0% based on the closing price on April 29, 2025 [4] Financial Summary - For the first quarter of 2025, Qingdao Port achieved an operating revenue of 4.807 billion yuan, up 8.51% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.402 billion yuan, up 6.51% year-on-year [4] - The report forecasts that from 2025 to 2027, the company will achieve operating revenues of 19.475 billion, 19.998 billion, and 20.542 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.82%, 2.69%, and 2.72% respectively [4][6] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is 5.517 billion, 5.804 billion, and 6.095 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 5.38%, 5.21%, and 5.02% [4][6] - The report estimates the earnings per share (EPS) to be 0.85, 0.89, and 0.94 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 10.11, 9.61, and 9.15 [4][6]