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新东方-S(09901):FY2025Q3点评:收入增速放缓,降本增效盈利能力有望提升
Guohai Securities·2025-04-30 09:33

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has experienced a slowdown in revenue growth, but cost reduction and efficiency improvements are expected to enhance profitability [3][7] - For FY2025 Q3, the company reported revenue of $1.18 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 2%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was $90 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.1% [6][8] - The company anticipates a revenue guidance for FY2025 Q4 of $1.01 to $1.04 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 10% to 13% [8][12] Revenue Performance - The company's FY2025 Q3 revenue was $1.18 billion, with the education business (excluding Dongfang Zhenxuan) generating $1.04 billion, which is a year-over-year increase of 21.2%, exceeding previous guidance of 18% to 21% [8][12] - The gross profit for FY2025 Q3 was $650 million, with a gross margin of 55.1%, an increase of 8.5 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to cost reduction and efficiency improvements [8][12] Profitability Metrics - Operating profit for FY2025 Q3 was $120 million, a year-over-year increase of 9.8%, with an operating margin of 10.5%, up 1.1 percentage points year-over-year [8][12] - Non-GAAP operating profit was $140 million, a year-over-year decrease of 0.2%, with a Non-GAAP operating margin of 12%, slightly above Bloomberg consensus expectations of 10.8% [8][12] Financial Position - As of the end of FY2025 Q3, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $1.42 billion, time deposits of $1.41 billion, and short-term investments of $1.85 billion [8][12] - The company has a strong brand reputation and operational experience in the education sector, which supports its profitability outlook despite challenges in traditional study abroad and new cultural tourism businesses [12] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of $4.86 billion, $5.53 billion, and $6.27 billion for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, respectively, with net profits of $414 million, $514 million, and $617 million for the same periods [11][12] - The report anticipates a PE ratio of 19, 15, and 13 for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [12]