DAFENG INDUSTRY(SH:603081) EBSCN·2025-04-30 10:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Views - The company demonstrated resilience in its operations, with expectations for humanoid robots to be integrated into tourism and cultural scenarios, contributing to new growth drivers [4]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.84 billion in 2024, a decrease of 4.9% year-on-year, attributed to project delivery delays and the nurturing phase of new businesses [2][4]. - The gross margin improved significantly to 33.4% in 2024, the highest level since 2016, despite an increase in expenses and impairment losses affecting profitability [3][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.84 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of 60 million, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 50 million, reflecting year-on-year declines of 4.9%, 36.0%, and 38.7% respectively [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 290 million, net profit of 30 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 30 million, with year-on-year changes of +0.2%, -3.4%, and -3.9% respectively [1]. Product and Regional Performance - In 2024, revenue from various segments included 1.07 billion from cultural and sports tourism equipment (down 22.7%), 270 million from digital art technology (up 18.1%), 210 million from rail transit equipment (up 100.0%), and 260 million from cultural and sports tourism operation services (up 44.3%) [2]. - Domestic revenue decreased by 18.5% to 1.56 billion, while overseas revenue surged by 1248.4% to 270 million, primarily due to the recognition of income from the Sochi Concert Hall project in Russia [2]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin for 2024 was 33.4%, an increase of 8.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 3.4%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points [3][11]. - The selling, general, and administrative expenses ratio increased to 23.5%, with specific rates for selling, management, financial, and R&D expenses being 7.2%, 13.4%, -2.8%, and 5.7% respectively [3]. Future Outlook and Valuation - The company expects an improvement in order volume due to a recovery in industry conditions following increased local government support for debt [4]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is 309 million for 2025, 371 million for 2026, and 460 million for 2027, reflecting significant growth rates [4][5].