Huaan Securities·2025-04-30 11:08Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that will outperform the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [7]. Core Views - The company has a global layout that enhances its self-sufficiency, with ongoing capacity construction. It has a diversified raw material supply system through controlling and participating in multiple lithium mining projects [6]. - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue of 18.906 billion yuan, down 42.66% year-on-year, and a net loss of 2.074 billion yuan, a decrease of 141.93% year-on-year [4][5]. - The company is expected to gradually recover, with projected net profits of 0.413 billion yuan, 1.118 billion yuan, and 2.633 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 18.906 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 42.66%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -2.074 billion yuan, down 141.93% year-on-year [4]. - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19.463 billion yuan, 23.636 billion yuan, and 29.735 billion yuan respectively, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 2.9%, 21.4%, and 25.8% [9]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 10.8% in 2024 to 20.7% by 2027, reflecting operational efficiency improvements [9]. Capacity Expansion and Resource Layout - The company has extensive lithium resource layouts globally, including projects in Australia and Argentina, which contribute to a diversified supply chain [6]. - The company’s production capacity is ramping up, with the first phase of the lithium hydroxide project in Fengcheng achieving an annual production capacity of 25,000 tons, and the Sichuan project expected to be operational by the end of 2024 [6].