超长信用债攻守兼备：债海观潮，大势研判

Group 1: Market Overview - In April, bond yields declined across the board, with short-term credit spreads narrowing significantly [4][8][10] - The one-year government bond yield decreased by 8 basis points, while the ten-year government bond yield fell by 16 basis points [10] - The total amount of defaults in April reached 5.87 billion yuan, marking a significant increase from the previous month [27] Group 2: Domestic and International Economic Fundamentals - The U.S. service sector showed a notable decline in activity, with the service PMI dropping to 51.4 from 54.4 [30] - China's GDP growth rate for March was approximately 5.9%, which is 1.0 percentage points higher than the January-February average [4][49] - Domestic consumption, investment, and exports all saw year-on-year increases in March, with exports rising significantly by 13.5% [65] Group 3: Monetary Policy Outlook - The political bureau meeting indicated a need for timely reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions to support the real economy [4][100] - The average R001 and R007 rates in April were 1.70% and 1.76%, respectively, both down from March [11] Group 4: Investment Strategy - The report suggests holding high-yield bonds such as long-term credit bonds and high-spread varieties to mitigate uncertainty [4][90] - The analysis indicates that the risk of adjustment in the bond market is low, making it a favorable time to invest in high-yield instruments [4][90]