Xinda Securities·2025-04-30 13:31Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the upstream sector has shown significant growth, contributing to the stable performance of the oil and gas leader [3] - The company achieved a total revenue of 753.11 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.47% [1][3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 46.81 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 45.55% [1][3] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported an operating profit of 46.1 billion yuan from the oil and gas sector, a year-on-year increase of 30 billion yuan [3] - The average Brent oil price in Q1 2025 was $75 per barrel, down 8% year-on-year but up 1% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The company’s oil and gas equivalent production reached 467 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 0.7% [3] Cost Management and Efficiency - The company effectively controlled costs, with unit oil and gas operating costs decreasing to $9.76 per barrel, down 6% from the previous year [3] - The renewable energy sector saw a significant increase, with wind and solar power generation rising by 94.6% year-on-year to 1.68 billion kWh in Q1 2025 [3] Refining and Chemical Sector - The refining sector faced short-term pressure, with crude processing volume in 2024 down 4.7% year-on-year [3] - The company is actively pursuing transformation and upgrading projects in the refining and chemical sectors, with chemical product output increasing by 0.5% year-on-year [3] Earnings Forecast and Investment Rating - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 171.74 billion, 175.75 billion, and 178.98 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.94, 0.96, and 0.98 yuan per share [5] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the company's robust performance and long-term investment value [5]