策略日报：情绪好转，科技领涨-20250430

Group 1: Investment Strategy Overview - The report indicates a positive shift in market sentiment, with technology leading the gains [1][5] - A-shares show mixed performance among the three major indices, with the ChiNext leading the rise, approximately 3200 stocks increased [2][19] - The market is expected to maintain a volatile trend, with a rotation among consumption, technology, and dividend stocks anticipated post-holiday [2][21] Group 2: Major Asset Tracking - In the bond market, short-term bonds are rising while long-term bonds are falling, leading to a steeper yield curve; a breakthrough of the 60-day moving average for 10-year government bonds is noted [15][19] - The A-share market is characterized by a significant increase in trading volume, with a total turnover of 1.19 trillion, up by 0.15 trillion from the previous trading day [2][19] - The foreign exchange market shows the onshore RMB against the USD at 7.2637, reflecting a 15 basis points increase, with expectations of a bottom around 7.5-7.6 in 2025 [3][26] Group 3: Policy and News - The National People's Congress passed the Private Economy Promotion Law, effective from May 20, 2025, aimed at optimizing the development environment for the private economy [4][37] - The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI for April dropped to 50.4, the lowest in three months, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing expansion [4][37] - The World Gold Council reported that global gold demand in Q1 2025 reached the highest level for a first quarter since 2016, with total investment demand increasing by 170% year-on-year [40]