Xinda Securities·2025-04-30 14:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 753.11 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.47%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 46.81 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 45.55% [1][3]. - The oil and gas segment significantly contributed to the company's performance, with the Brent average oil price at $75 per barrel, down 8% year-on-year but up 1% quarter-on-quarter. The operating profits from various segments showed mixed results, with oil and gas yielding 46.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30% [3][5]. - The company achieved a stable growth in oil and gas production, with a total output of 467 million barrels of oil equivalent, a 0.7% increase year-on-year. The unit operating cost decreased to $9.76 per barrel, down 6% from the previous year [3][5]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 171.74 billion yuan, 175.75 billion yuan, and 178.98 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.94, 0.96, and 0.98 yuan per share. The projected P/E ratios for these years are 8.51, 8.32, and 8.17 [4][5]. - The total revenue is expected to decline slightly from 2,888.21 billion yuan in 2025 to 2,898.71 billion yuan in 2027, with a projected growth rate of -1.7% in 2025 and a slight recovery to 0.4% in 2027 [4][5].