农业银行：利润增速持续领跑大行，县域金融战略深化-20250501

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Agricultural Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Agricultural Bank's profit growth continues to lead among state-owned banks, with a focus on deepening its county-level financial strategy [4][9] - As of the end of Q1 2025, Agricultural Bank's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 0.35% and 2.19% year-on-year, respectively, maintaining the leading position among state-owned banks [4] - The bank's non-interest income ratio increased to 24.69%, with significant growth in investment income and foreign exchange gains [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - As of Q1 2025, Agricultural Bank's total assets, loans, and financial investments grew by 6.31%, 10.03%, and 12.69% year-on-year, respectively [5] - The bank's net interest margin was 1.34%, with a slight decrease compared to the previous year, but the decline was significantly narrowed [6] - The non-performing loan ratio was 1.28%, showing a slight improvement, and the provision coverage ratio was 297.18%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [8] Investment Recommendations - The bank's focus on county-level financial services is expected to benefit from the accelerated integration of urban and rural economies [9] - The bank's profitability forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a slight decline in revenue growth, with expected net profit growth of 1.26%, 1.36%, and 2.37% respectively [9][11]