Tianfeng Securities·2025-05-01 14:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huatai Securities is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7][5]. Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Huatai Securities in Q1 2025, driven primarily by brokerage, credit, and proprietary trading businesses [1][5]. - The brokerage business saw a revenue increase of 42.6% year-on-year, attributed to improved market trading volumes, while the credit business experienced a remarkable growth of 319.5% [2][4]. - The report anticipates continued benefits for the company from stable or increasing trading volumes in the capital market, which is expected to support growth in wealth management and trading businesses [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Huatai Securities achieved an adjusted revenue of 7.3 billion yuan, up 28.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.6 billion yuan, up 59.0% year-on-year [1]. - The return on equity (ROE) was reported at 8.4%, an increase of 2.9 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1]. Brokerage Business - The brokerage business generated 1.94 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a 42.6% increase year-on-year, supported by a significant rise in market trading volumes, with an average daily trading volume of 1.7465 trillion yuan, up 70.9% year-on-year [2]. Investment Banking - The investment banking segment reported a revenue of 540 million yuan, a slight decline of 5.9% year-on-year, primarily due to a reduction in the scale of securities underwriting [2]. Asset Management - The asset management business saw a revenue drop of 61.7% year-on-year, with the non-monetary public fund management scale expanding, but a decrease in fee rates led to lower income [3]. Credit and Proprietary Trading - The credit business revenue surged to 970 million yuan, a 319.5% increase year-on-year, driven by increased market activity in margin trading [4]. - The proprietary trading business generated 2.76 billion yuan in revenue, up 46.5% year-on-year, despite a 15.6% decrease in the scale of financial assets [4]. Future Outlook - The report updates profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with expected net profits of 16.1 billion yuan, 18.2 billion yuan, and 19.2 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 4.8%, 12.9%, and 6.5% [5][11].