Huachuang Securities·2025-05-02 06:09Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, with a target price of 22.37 CNY [2][9]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with total revenue of 4.6 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.31 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.3% [2][3]. - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.45 CNY, 1.56 CNY, and 1.67 CNY respectively, with corresponding book values per share (BPS) of 13.98 CNY, 15.02 CNY, and 16.06 CNY [9][10]. Financial Summary - The main financial indicators for the company are as follows: - Main revenue (million CNY): 20,891 in 2024A, projected to increase to 24,913 in 2025E, 26,316 in 2026E, and 28,348 in 2027E, with year-on-year growth rates of 5%, 19%, 6%, and 8% respectively [5]. - Net profit (million CNY): 10,386 in 2024A, projected to increase to 12,567 in 2025E, 13,564 in 2026E, and 14,561 in 2027E, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 21%, 8%, and 7% respectively [5]. - Current price as of April 30, 2025, is 16.45 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.6 for 2024A, decreasing to 11.4 for 2025E, and further down to 9.8 for 2027E [5][9]. Business Performance - The company's self-operated business saw a slight quarter-on-quarter decline, with net income from heavy capital business totaling 1.72 billion CNY, and a net yield of 0.4% [9]. - Brokerage business revenue was 1.97 billion CNY, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 21.7% but a year-on-year increase of 49% [9]. - Investment banking revenue was 190 million CNY, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.5 million CNY but a year-on-year increase of 100 million CNY [9].