HKEX(00388)2025-05-04 07:57Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (0388.HK) [2][9]. Core Views - In the medium to long term, the report anticipates that a series of connectivity policies will enhance the basic conditions for recovery in the capital market, leading to sustained liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market and an increase in overall market activity and valuation [2][6]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues and other income of HKD 266.63 billion, 285.26 billion, and 304.86 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 160.57 billion, 172.00 billion, and 184.36 billion for the same years, corresponding to PE ratios of 26.91, 25.12, and 23.44 [2][6]. Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenues and other income of HKD 68.57 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.84%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 40.77 billion, up 37.3% year-on-year [6][9]. - Revenue growth was driven by strong performance across various fee structures, with trading and trading system usage fees increasing by 60.29%, listing fees by 11.78%, and settlement and clearing fees by 56.32% [6][9]. Market Activity - The report highlights a significant increase in trading activity in the cash, derivatives, and commodities markets, with daily average turnover in the cash market rising by 153.0% year-on-year and daily average turnover in the Stock Connect increasing by 43.7% [6][9]. - The increase in trading activity led to a 69.9% year-on-year growth in settlement and clearing fee income [6][9]. Future Projections - The report projects that the company will continue to benefit from enhanced market conditions and connectivity policies, with expected revenue growth and profitability over the next few years [2][6]. - Specific revenue and profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 indicate a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [10].