Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8][11]. Core Views - The company focuses on the dual tracks of rail transit and low-altitude economy, consolidating and expanding its advantages in the full industry chain of rail transit communication signal engineering design, train control system equipment, and engineering technical services [2][11]. - The rail transit business is experiencing upward momentum, while the low-altitude sector is expected to become a second growth curve [2][11]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 6.734 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.84%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 562 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.08% [6][11]. - The sales gross margin for Q1 2025 was 27.23%, and the net profit margin was 8.38%, maintaining a high level [11]. - The company’s inventory and contract liabilities reached 4.256 billion yuan and 9.378 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 13.4% and 1.1% [11]. Business Segmentation - In Q1 2025, revenue from the railway segment was 3.414 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4%. The urban rail segment saw revenue of 1.965 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22%. Overseas revenue was 299 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 67% [11]. - The company is strategically exiting municipal construction projects while optimizing its business structure to focus on rail transit and low-altitude economy sectors [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 3.91 billion yuan and 4.46 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 13.8 and 12.1 times [11].
中国通号(688009):2025Q1点评:经营稳健,轨道交通+低空经济“双赛道”发展