ICBC(SH:601398) Huaxin Securities·2025-05-05 05:23Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue at 2127.7 billion yuan, down 3.22% year-on-year, and net profit at 841.6 billion yuan, down 3.99% year-on-year [4][5]. - The company's total assets grew by 8.3% year-on-year to 51.5 trillion yuan, with deposits increasing by 4% to 36.4 trillion yuan and loans rising by 8.5% to 29.7 trillion yuan [6]. - The net interest margin decreased by 9 basis points to 1.33%, primarily due to a larger decline in asset yield compared to the improvement in liability costs [7]. - Non-interest income fell by 4.2% year-on-year, attributed to increased fair value losses due to rising market interest rates [8]. - The non-performing loan ratio improved to 1.33%, with a provision coverage ratio of 215.7%, indicating continued asset quality improvement [9][10]. - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 3644 billion yuan, 3757 billion yuan, and 3884 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.02, 1.05, and 1.09 yuan [11][13]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2127.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.22% year-on-year, and a net profit of 841.6 billion yuan, down 3.99% year-on-year [4][5]. - The total assets reached 51.5 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.3% [6]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio was 1.33%, with a provision coverage ratio of 215.7%, showing improvement in asset quality [9][10]. Profitability Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3644 billion yuan, 3757 billion yuan, and 3884 billion yuan respectively, with EPS estimates of 1.02, 1.05, and 1.09 yuan [11][13].