赛特新材：增长主动能切换至内销市场，子公司、转债造成盈利阶段性下行-20250505

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is transitioning its growth momentum towards the domestic market, with a notable decline in profitability due to subsidiary losses and convertible bond expenses [1] - The VIP board segment shows resilience with a revenue increase of 11.39% year-on-year, despite a slight decrease in average selling price [2] - The company is actively engaging in cash dividends and share buybacks to enhance shareholder returns [4] - The company is positioned as a leader in the vacuum insulation panel industry, with significant growth potential in both domestic and international markets [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 934 million yuan, an increase of 11.16% year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 27.27% to 77.16 million yuan [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 29.12%, down 3.91 percentage points, attributed to a decrease in terminal average prices and rising raw material costs [3] - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 65.65 million yuan, a decrease of 12.67% year-on-year, primarily due to increased costs outpacing revenue growth [4] - The company forecasts net profits of 100 million yuan, 140 million yuan, and 170 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25X, 17X, and 14X [5] Market Dynamics - The company’s domestic sales ratio increased to 56.91% in 2024, up 11.98 percentage points year-on-year, driven by domestic replacement policies [2] - The overall industry remains in a high demand phase, with the VIP board segment benefiting from both domestic and international market dynamics [2]