SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-05-05 08:23Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the pharmaceutical sector in 2024 and early 2025, with a strong focus on the innovative drug segment as a key investment opportunity [1][5]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to face continued pressure on overall performance and profit margins due to factors such as healthcare payment environment, industry regulation, and changing consumer conditions in 2024 and Q1 2025 [1][18]. - Despite the challenges, there is optimism for a recovery in the pharmaceutical sector in the second half of 2025, driven by easing pressures from policies and fundamentals, leading to a potential turnaround in performance and stock prices [1][21]. - The innovative drug segment is highlighted as a primary focus for investment, with expectations for significant growth and valuation recovery for leading companies in this space [2][5]. Summary by Sections Pharmaceutical Sector Overview - The innovative drug segment is performing well, with leading companies like BeiGene and Hengrui Medicine showing strong revenue and business development (BD) income growth [2][22]. - The overall pharmaceutical sector is under pressure, with profit margins declining, except for the innovative drug segment which is experiencing independent growth [1][18]. Biopharmaceuticals - The biopharmaceutical sector is facing challenges, but there are opportunities for growth in specific areas such as long-acting interferons and insulin products, which are expected to see a turnaround [2][4]. Retail Pharmacy - The retail pharmacy sector is showing signs of marginal improvement, with expectations for a gradual return to normal growth in 2025 [2][4]. Medical Services and Aesthetic Medicine - The medical services and aesthetic medicine sectors are experiencing a mild recovery, with expectations for sustained performance in 2025 [3][4]. Traditional Chinese Medicine - The traditional Chinese medicine sector is expected to improve gradually throughout the year, following a challenging 2024 [4][12]. Medical Devices - The medical device sector is anticipated to recover gradually, with significant growth expected from overseas market expansion [4][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on innovative drug opportunities throughout 2025, particularly in companies with strong international capabilities and those involved in business development [5][21].