贵金属双周报：关税与地缘持续缓和，不改黄金中长期看多逻辑-20250505

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Viewpoints - The gold price reached a high of 3500 USD before a short-term adjustment, with recent declines attributed to easing tariffs and geopolitical tensions [4][6] - The report highlights that the U.S. President's comments on the Federal Reserve and the signing of an executive order to alleviate tariffs on imported cars have contributed to market fluctuations [6][7] - The long-term outlook remains bullish for gold, driven by expected interest rate cuts and geopolitical factors, with central bank purchases providing strong support for gold prices [7] Summary by Sections Price Trends - Recent price movements include a 1.69% drop in London spot gold to 3249.70 USD/oz and a 1.36% decline in Shanghai gold to 780.30 CNY/g, while silver prices saw slight increases [11][12] U.S. Economic Data and Federal Reserve Tracking - The report emphasizes the importance of upcoming U.S. economic data releases, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and inflation rates, which could impact gold prices [6][7] Holdings and Trading Volume - The report notes a decrease in trading volumes for both gold and silver, with Shanghai gold holdings down 2.45% to 413,600 contracts and Shanghai silver holdings down 5.74% to 851,200 contracts [11][12] Domestic and International Price Differences - The gold price difference between domestic and international markets increased, with the domestic gold price gap rising to 28.43 CNY/g [62] Futures Basis - The international gold basis (spot-futures) increased to 2.30 USD/oz, while the domestic gold basis rose to -0.80 CNY/g [70]