Changjiang Securities·2025-05-05 15:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the military industry [2] Core Insights - The military sector is experiencing a bottoming out and marginal recovery, with new directions showing superior performance [9][15] - The J-35 supply chain is entering a phase of prosperity, with increased production capacity supporting the launch of new models [52][73] - The report highlights the importance of contract liabilities and inventory stability as indicators of demand recovery in the industry [27][95] Summary by Sections Military Sector Overview - The military sector's revenue growth from 2021 to Q1 2025 shows a decline, with a notable drop in net profit in 2024, but a recovery trend is observed in Q1 2025 [18][19] - The main track of the military sector includes traditional aircraft, engines, and missiles, with revenue growth rates declining but showing signs of recovery in Q1 2025 [19][23] J-35 Supply Chain - The J-35, China's second stealth fighter, is expected to have a strong export potential due to its competitive pricing and fully domestic production [55][61] - The company plans to invest 11 billion yuan in local relocation and production capacity expansion to support new model production [73][81] New Directions in the Industry - New directions such as military trade and new equipment are showing upward trends in revenue and profit growth, indicating a recovery in demand [38][48] - Companies like Tunan Co. are focusing on advanced metal materials and innovative business models to capture growth opportunities in the defense sector [99][102] Financial Performance - The report indicates that major manufacturers like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation have seen significant increases in contract liabilities, suggesting a positive outlook for future demand [27][95] - The financial metrics for the military sector show a narrowing of profit declines in Q1 2025, with a focus on maintaining stable inventory levels [19][28]