Goldman Sachs·2025-05-06 02:43Investment Rating - The report downgrades Hwatsing and Maxscend to Neutral from Buy due to relatively lower upside potential across the coverage [2][30]. Core Insights - The report remains positive on China Semis, driven by generative AI and autonomous driving trends, with upgrades for SMIC, VeriSilicon, AMEC, and Cambricon to Buy [1][2]. - Hwatsing is a local leader in CMP equipment, expanding into wafer thinning and ion implantation tools, but faces challenges in revenue growth from mature nodes [11][28]. - Maxscend is experiencing slower growth in the Android smartphone market, impacting its revenue and net income forecasts [31]. Summary by Company Hwatsing - Downgraded to Neutral with a 12-month price target of Rmb201, suggesting a 22% upside potential [10][11]. - Revenue estimates for 2025-27E revised down by 4%/5%/6% due to slower contributions from mature nodes CMP tools [2][14]. - Expected revenue growth of 38%/20% YoY in 2025/26E driven by product mix upgrades towards advanced nodes [12][14]. - 1Q25 results showed revenues of Rmb912 million, a 34% YoY increase but 7% below estimates [14][15]. Maxscend - Downgraded to Neutral with a 12-month price target of Rmb86, indicating a 14.9% upside potential [30][31]. - Net income estimates reduced by 36%/25%/4% for 2025-27E due to weaker-than-expected 1Q25 results and slow smartphone market growth [31]. - The company is expanding its product lines from RF discrete to modules, but faces gross margin pressure from pricing competition [31].