深城交（301091）：2024年年报及2025年一季报点评：新签合同高增，业务转型下增长可期

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has seen a significant increase in new contracts, with a year-on-year growth of 49%, particularly in new quality businesses such as big data software and smart transportation, which grew by 138% [5] - Despite a decline in traditional planning and design business due to industry cycles, the company is actively transitioning towards new economic sectors, including low-altitude economy and smart transportation, which are expected to drive future growth [5][7] - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 1.316 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.26% from the previous year, but a strong recovery is anticipated in 2025 with a forecasted revenue of 2.063 billion yuan, representing a growth rate of 56.77% [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.32 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 110 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 34.74% [10] - The gross margin for 2024 was 32.5%, down 4.81 percentage points from the previous year, while the net profit margin was 8.4%, down 3.92 percentage points [6] Business Development - The company is focusing on optimizing its business structure, with significant growth in smart transportation, which accounted for 55.89% of total revenue in 2024 [5] - The establishment of specialized teams for low-altitude transportation and smart transportation indicates a strategic shift towards new infrastructure projects [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to 194 million yuan, a decrease of 7% from previous estimates, with further projections of 249 million yuan for 2026 and 309 million yuan for 2027 [7][9] - The report highlights a potential increase in profitability driven by the growth of smart transportation and new contracts, despite current pressures on traditional business lines [7]