INTCO RECYCLING(SH:688087) HTSC·2025-05-06 03:39Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 26.61 RMB [6][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.924 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.09%, and a net profit of 307.32 million RMB, up 57.07% year-on-year, exceeding expectations primarily due to lower financial costs [1][4]. - The company's Vietnam project achieved full production and sales in 2024, contributing significantly to revenue growth, with plans for a second phase expected to enhance future performance [3][4]. - The report highlights rapid revenue growth in decorative building materials and PET products, with a focus on improving the gross margin of PET products, which currently stands at 3.15% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.924 billion RMB, a 19.09% increase from the previous year, and a net profit of 307.32 million RMB, reflecting a 57.07% increase [5]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 793 million RMB, a 25.19% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 72.32 million RMB, showing a marginal increase of 0.02% [1]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from decorative building materials grew by 31.55% year-on-year, while PET products saw a 30.62% increase. However, the gross margin for PET products remains low at 3.15% [2][4]. - The company plans to enhance its recycling network and optimize production processes to improve the gross margin of PET products in the future [2]. Project Developments - The Vietnam project generated 298 million RMB in revenue in 2024, marking a 109.78% increase year-on-year, with net profit rising by 71.75% to 31.04 million RMB [3]. - The company announced an investment of approximately 60 million USD for the second phase of the Vietnam project, which is expected to be completed in 24 months and will significantly increase production capacity [3]. Valuation Metrics - The report projects a net profit of 311.40 million RMB for 2025, with an expected EPS of 1.66 RMB. The target price is based on a PE ratio of 16.0x for 2025 [4][5].