Soochow Securities·2025-05-06 08:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company continues to face pressure on revenue and profit, with a notable decline in domestic business, while overseas new contracts remain strong [7] - The report highlights that the company achieved a total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The report anticipates that fiscal policy support and improvements in financing will gradually manifest in investment and physical volume, with expectations for increased infrastructure investment and policy support in key regions [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin remained stable at 8.5%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 0.1 percentage points [7] - The company’s financial expense ratio increased to 4.9%, primarily due to a rise in financial expenses [7] Business Segments - Revenue from various business segments in Q1 included: infrastructure construction (216.8 billion yuan, -8.0% YoY), design consulting (4.7 billion yuan, -2.2% YoY), equipment manufacturing (6.2 billion yuan, -5.8% YoY), real estate development (6.7 billion yuan, +59.5% YoY), and other businesses (14.9 billion yuan, +3.2% YoY) [7] - The report indicates that traditional infrastructure business is under pressure, but the share of higher-margin design consulting and real estate development has increased [7] Order Book and Future Outlook - The company signed new contracts worth 560.1 billion yuan in Q1, a decrease of 9.9% year-on-year, with significant contributions from overseas contracts [7] - The backlog of orders stood at 7,234.1 billion yuan at the end of Q1, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.0% [7] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2026 to be 28.0 billion yuan and 28.5 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 29.1 billion yuan [7]