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有色金属:海外季报:Alamos Gold 2025Q1黄金产量环比减少10.84%至3.89吨,调整后净利润环比减少42.05%至5980万美元
HUAXI Securities·2025-05-06 09:48

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, gold production decreased by 10.84% quarter-on-quarter to 125,000 ounces (3.89 tons), and adjusted net profit decreased by 42.05% to $59.8 million [1][5] - The average realized gold price in Q1 2025 was $2,802 per ounce, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.46% and a year-on-year increase of 35.43% [2] - Total cash costs increased by 21.61% quarter-on-quarter to $1,193 per ounce, while all-in sustaining costs rose by 35.41% to $1,805 per ounce [2] - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $333 million, a decrease of 11.39% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 19.96% year-on-year [3] Production and Sales Summary - Q1 2025 gold production was 125,000 ounces (3.89 tons), down 10.84% from the previous quarter and down 7.89% year-on-year [1] - Q1 2025 gold sales were 117,583 ounces (3.66 tons), a decrease of 16.76% quarter-on-quarter and 11.49% year-on-year [1] - The company expects production to increase in Q2 2025 and throughout the remainder of the year [1] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was $333 million, a decrease of 11.39% from the previous quarter but an increase of 19.96% year-on-year [3] - Q1 2025 net profit was $15.2 million, down 82.65% quarter-on-quarter and down 63.90% year-on-year [5] - Adjusted net profit for Q1 2025 was $59.8 million, a decrease of 42.05% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 16.80% year-on-year [5] Growth Projects - The Island Gold Phase III expansion project is expected to be completed in the first half of 2026, leading to further production growth at lower costs [8] - The Lynn Lake project is anticipated to begin production in the first half of 2028, with an average annual production of 176,000 ounces over the first ten years [9] - The PDA project in Mexico is expected to start construction in mid-2025, with an estimated initial capital of $165 million and a projected internal rate of return (IRR) of 46% at a gold price of $1,950 per ounce [11][12] 2025 Guidance - The company expects gold production for 2025 to be between 580,000 and 630,000 ounces, with a significant increase anticipated in the second half of the year [16] - Total cash costs for 2025 are projected to be between $875 and $925 per ounce, with all-in sustaining costs expected to be between $1,250 and $1,300 per ounce [16]