ECEC(SZ:002140) Tianfeng Securities·2025-05-06 11:47Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][18]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 13.5% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025, achieving revenue of 2.07 billion [1]. - The non-net profit increased by 27.13% year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in expense ratios, while the net profit was affected by a reduction in impairment reversals [1]. - The company has a strong order backlog, with approximately 49.9 billion in hand orders, and aims to secure 22 billion in new orders for 2025, particularly in the coal chemical sector [2]. - The company has a competitive edge in coal chemical engineering, especially in wastewater treatment, and is expected to benefit from the rising demand in Xinjiang's coal chemical industry [4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a comprehensive gross margin of 8.74%, with a period expense ratio of 2.17%, reflecting effective cost control [3]. - The company’s projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 10.36 billion, 11.89 billion, and 13.45 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 480.34 million, 560.33 million, and 640.50 million [5][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow from 0.68 in 2025 to 0.90 in 2027, indicating a positive growth trajectory [5][12]. Market Position - The company has secured significant projects, including the design and construction of coal-to-gas and coal-to-olefins facilities, which enhances its market position in the coal chemical sector [4]. - The company’s financial metrics indicate a healthy valuation, with a projected P/E ratio decreasing from 20.09 in 2023 to 10.79 in 2027, suggesting potential for price appreciation [5][12].