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中联重科(000157):25Q1业绩点评:非挖内销有望修复,盈利能力稳步提升
Changjiang Securities·2025-05-06 23:30

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The engineering machinery industry is transitioning from excavators to non-excavation equipment, with expectations of recovery in domestic sales for the company's engineering cranes and concrete machinery in Q1 [2][11]. - The company's overseas revenue continues to grow rapidly, with a year-on-year increase of 15.17% in Q1, and overseas revenue now accounts for 54.20% of total revenue, reflecting a 5.77 percentage point increase year-on-year [2][11]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in domestic demand for traditional segments such as concrete machinery and cranes, while also expanding into emerging strategic sectors like earthmoving, agricultural, and mining machinery [2][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 12.117 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.410 billion yuan, up 53.98% year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin for Q1 was 28.67%, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 0.21 percentage points, attributed to a higher proportion of overseas revenue and product structure optimization [11]. - The net profit margin for Q1 was 12.51%, an increase of 3.84 percentage points year-on-year [11]. Market Outlook - The domestic market for engineering cranes and concrete machinery is expected to recover, with significant improvements anticipated in Q1, although total domestic revenue still declined due to weak demand for tower cranes and high-altitude machinery [11]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 5.016 billion yuan and 6.055 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 13 times and 11 times [11].